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There’s no shortage of news coming out of the Middle East, but today we’re going to look at the rising tensions between Israel and Iran and Iranian proxy Hezbollah.
While we’ve seen multiple attacks between Iran and Israel (and Hezbollah is poking around as well), a broader war is unlikely. Each of these players is preoccupied and has bigger fish to fry. Israel with Gaza, Hezbollah integrating with the Lebanese government, and Iran having to manage an increasingly complex domestic political environment.
The big news is obviously Israel’s assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran, but there’s been a handful of back-and-forth attacks between the two countries. While Israel isn’t likely to topple the Islamic Republic via its targeted assassination campaigns their successes have resulted in rising domestic criticism of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards.
Tensions—and attacks—between Israel and Iran/Hezbollah will almost certainly continue, but in terms of a major conflict or significant policy change…I wouldn’t expect much. |
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